Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0065
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jan 13 2023 01:13:01

ACUS11 KWNS 130113
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130112=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-130245-

Mesoscale Discussion 0065
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0712 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

Areas affected...Southeast GA...Southwest SC

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 130112Z - 130245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Severe threat appears marginal across southwest South
Carolina this evening. New ww is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION...Forced band of convection is advancing steadily east
across GA this evening ahead of short-wave trough. Several
long-lived supercells have been noted along this corridor, one in
particular near Vidalia.  This activity is quickly approaching very
poor quality air mass with meager instability and very dry surface
dew points. 00z sounding from JAX samples this well with 0.41 PW and
a 43 surface dew point. Latest thinking is convection should begin
to weaken rapidly as it approaches the GA/SC border and a new ww is
not expected.

...Darrow/Hart.. 01/13/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_JEiT8gdCohGmuAEVZtnQGxGIix10P9nMdVDTg7omNrL9e7cxNKRwy7HN359MnpYwFOsR2euz=
j7V_xjHTF6gDfQhH9g$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...FFC...

LAT...LON   32798207 33128104 32358064 31858155 31958228 32798207=20


=3D =3D =3D
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