Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0046
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jan 12 2023 10:33:21

ACUS11 KWNS 121033
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121032=20
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-121230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0046
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0432 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

Areas affected...western into central Kentucky

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15...

Valid 121032Z - 121230Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15
continues.

SUMMARY...Storms may continue to pose a hail and damaging wind
threat into central Kentucky.

DISCUSSION...Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms persist
from the IN/KY border southwestward toward the MO Bootheel. Ongoing
severe storms over western KY have produced mainly large hail, but a
few damaging gusts are also possible with the line of storms as it
continues rapidly east/northeastward across the warm sector.
Dewpoints have recovered into the upper 50s across TN and now into
western KY, resulting in MUCAPE in excess of 1000 J/kg. Thus, strong
southwesterlies aloft and long hodographs will continue to favor
fast-moving storms along the front/outflow. An additional watch
could be needed if storm trends remain favorable.

...Jewell.. 01/12/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!86vdKeI_2g-aNmr8hQv0sUUYVvz_ThRz076iEohzWd3lBoyVegN9iIrdHkbK_0G6R6ox-Qv5M=
DPfW64OsAvdBGG-wmI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   37668751 38238678 38398574 38358517 38238486 37978461
            37668455 37468458 37058492 36838579 36508864 36608879
            37048819 37668751=20


=3D =3D =3D
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