Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jan 11 2023 08:52:16

ACUS48 KWNS 110852
SWOD48
SPC AC 110850

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0250 AM CST Wed Jan 11 2023

Valid 141200Z - 191200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Severe potential appears low this upcoming weekend through early
next week, as both low-level moisture and related instability should
remain insufficient for robust convection across the CONUS. By the
middle of next week (around Day 8/Wednesday), medium-range guidance
suggests an upper trough may eject across the southern/central
Plains towards the MS Valley. Adequate low-level moisture return
could occur ahead of this feature and support some risk for
organized severe thunderstorms. However, there is still a large
degree of uncertainty regarding the amplitude and timing of the
upper trough, as well as related surface features. This suggests
that predictability remains low for Wednesday.

...Gleason.. 01/11/2023

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