Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 09 2023 19:55:00

ACUS01 KWNS 091955
SWODY1
SPC AC 091953

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0153 PM CST Mon Jan 09 2023

Valid 092000Z - 101200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS COASTAL
CALIFORNIA...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to marginally severe thunderstorms are possible near
the California coast late tonight and early Tuesday morning.

....Discussion...
No change was made to the previous convective outlook.

...Smith.. 01/09/2023

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1032 AM CST Mon Jan 09 2023/

....Coastal California...
Although some near-coastal thunderstorms are possible today,
convective potential is expected to increase tonight through early
Tuesday as a shortwave trough and jet streak approach the California
coast. It appears that a couple hundred J/kg of MLCAPE could support
some stronger storms as the frontal band approaches the region. In
the presence of strong (40-60 kt) winds through the 1-5 km AGL
layer, locally damaging wind gusts and/or a brief tornado could
occur late tonight and early Tuesday morning, primarily after 09z.

$$

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