Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 09 2023 00:25:56

ACUS01 KWNS 090025
SWODY1
SPC AC 090024

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0624 PM CST Sun Jan 08 2023

Valid 090100Z - 091200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will reach the Eastern Seaboard as a second upper
trough impinges on the West Coast tonight. This evening,
thunderstorm development is expected along or just east of the North
Carolina Outer Banks as a surface low develops offshore. Shear and
buoyancy suggests that robust thunderstorm development is possible,
but that the strongest storms should remain over open waters.
Otherwise, scant buoyancy and deep-layer ascent may overspread
portions of central and northern California tonight in association
with the approaching mid-level trough. A couple of lightning flashes
cannot be ruled out over land. However, buoyancy is expected to
remain marginal enough to exclude thunder probabilities this
outlook.

...Squitieri.. 01/09/2023

$$

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