Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jan 06 2023 19:37:06

ACUS01 KWNS 061937
SWODY1
SPC AC 061935

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0135 PM CST Fri Jan 06 2023

Valid 062000Z - 071200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected today.

....20Z Update...
No changes needed to the previous outlook. See previous discussion
below for more details.

...Mosier.. 01/06/2023

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1028 AM CST Fri Jan 06 2023/

....Discussion...
A progressive/low-amplitude upper-level flow pattern will exist over
the CONUS through tonight. Surface cyclogenesis across the southern
High Plains will influence air mass modification and gradual
low-level moistening over the western Gulf of Mexico into south/east
Texas, but prevalent mid-level capping will preclude thunderstorm
development within this regime through tonight.

Elsewhere, some thunderstorms will continue to occur today in the
Atlantic waters 100+ miles off the coast of Long Island/southern New
England. A few lightning flashes could occur late this afternoon
into tonight along the coastal Pacific Northwest and northern
California, but the overall potential appears quite low (less than
10 percent) and primarily focused offshore.

$$

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