Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jan 06 2023 06:02:02

ACUS02 KWNS 060602
SWODY2
SPC AC 060600

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 AM CST Fri Jan 06 2023

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms appear unlikely on Saturday.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
A low-amplitude upper trough should progress eastward across parts
of the southern Plains into the Mid-South and lower MS Valley on
Saturday. A related weak surface low is forecast to develop slowly
eastward over these areas as well, with a trailing cold front
sagging southeastward across central/coastal TX into the ArkLaMiss.
With a moist low-level airmass in place ahead of the front, weak
instability should develop due to daytime heating. Isolated
thunderstorms may develop across these regions Saturday afternoon
and evening. But, deep-layer shear will likely remain rather modest,
with the stronger mid-level flow relegated to the north of the
surface front. While a strong thunderstorm or two with gusty winds
and perhaps small hail may occur from coastal/southeast TX into
parts of LA, the potential for a more organized severe event still
appears generally low. Farther west, isolated lightning flashes also
appear possible with low-topped convection spreading inland over
parts of coastal northern/central CA, mainly late Saturday night.

...Gleason.. 01/06/2023

$$

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