Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jan 05 2023 07:38:53

ACUS03 KWNS 050738
SWODY3
SPC AC 050737

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0137 AM CST Thu Jan 05 2023

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.

....Synopsis...

A mid/upper shortwave trough will migrate from the central/southern
Plains to the Mid-MS Valley on Saturday. At the surface, a weak low
will traverse AR into northern MS, while a cold front drops
southeast across southern/southeastern TX and western LA. Southerly
low-level flow will maintain 60s F boundary-layer dewpoints ahead of
the front across parts of TX and LA, with lower dewpoints further
east toward MS and the TN Valley. This will allow for modest
instability across the region, and isolated thunderstorms are
possible. However, stronger large-scale forcing will remain north of
the region, and vertical shear will be weak, or only marginally
support organized convection. At this time, severe potential appears
too low to include probabilities.

...Leitman.. 01/05/2023

$$

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