Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jan 05 2023 00:42:23

ACUS01 KWNS 050042
SWODY1
SPC AC 050041

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0641 PM CST Wed Jan 04 2023

Valid 050100Z - 051200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST...

....SUMMARY...
Sporadic strong wind gusts remain possible tonight along portions of
the central to northern California coastline.

....Central to Northern CA Coast...
Strong cooling aloft will continue through tonight, resulting in
steepening lapse rates and increasing SBCAPE values to around
100-300 J/kg. Sporadic lightning flashes have been noted well
offshore, and these low-topped thunderstorms may eventually affect
the coastal counties between 03-12Z, with the band translating from
north to south. Given very strong winds just off the surface, any
deeper convection may enhance wind gust potential, and a few strong
to severe gusts cannot be ruled out.

....FL...
Scattered thunderstorms persist along a stalled from the eastern
Gulf of Mexico to Daytona Beach. The strongest instability is
expected to remain offshore as the boundary layer cools this
evening. In addition, large-scale ascent will continue to wane with
the main upper trough passing well to the north. As such, severe
storms are no longer indicated over land.

...Jewell.. 01/05/2023

$$

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