Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0038
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jan 04 2023 20:26:53

ACUS11 KWNS 042026
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042026=20
FLZ000-GAZ000-042200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0038
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CST Wed Jan 04 2023

Areas affected...Parts of northeast Florida and far southeast
Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 14...

Valid 042026Z - 042200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 14 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe risk continues across northeast Florida and far
southeast Georgia. Primary concerns are damaging winds and perhaps a
brief tornado.

DISCUSSION...An intense line of storms across northeast Florida and
southeast Georgia persists this afternoon, moving east-northeast at
around 50 mph. Moist, unstable conditions are present in the
boundary layer ahead of the line, with 0-6 km shear of 50-60 kts
(sampled by the KJAX VWP) oriented oblique to the line. Given the
continued linear/organized mode and deep updrafts keeping pace with
the gust front, damaging winds of up to 60-70 mph and perhaps a
brief tornado are possible. These storms will generally continue
east-northeastward towards the coast over the next couple hours.

...Supinie/Weinman.. 01/04/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8-GhSVMcr6hTaa3urwngbrH_uQnLbwl2uL5nlgjQHge1PI4Tp0X9pXpCKBO0F_3VsUk47u14g=
a9PjCx9vBrdYi77Amg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON   29618107 29328115 28998163 28978199 29048247 29318260
            29608259 29998256 30328229 30898167 30718133 29918111
            29618107=20


=3D =3D =3D
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