Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0036
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jan 04 2023 17:52:20

ACUS11 KWNS 041752
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041752=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-041945-

Mesoscale Discussion 0036
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1152 AM CST Wed Jan 04 2023

Areas affected...northeastern South Carolina into southeastern North
Carolina

Concerning...Tornado Watch 14...

Valid 041752Z - 041945Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 14 continues.

SUMMARY...Local severe potential -- including locally
strong/damaging gusts and possibly a brief tornado -- continues
across northeastern South Carolina and adjacent southeastern North
Carolina.

DISCUSSION...As the ongoing band of storms moves into a zone of
greater instability per recent RAP-based objective analysis,
convection has maintained a semi-complex/linearly organized
structure, within Tornado Watch 14.  Surface winds have become
gradually more veered/southwesterly across much of the area, and
thus deep-layer flow fairly unidirectional/southwesterly.  Still, a
couple of north/south-oriented segments of the line -- more
orthogonal to the deep-layer shear vector -- remain particularly
capable of producing locally strong wind gusts.  A brief/weak
tornado also remains possible within this convective band.

...Goss.. 01/04/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6WYMLJmwknjSBkuntSHbAUQKzHN4iki5gPVOH30Y8lZGyA0Dn7tY_SqriA8zWYuCludQOA8wE=
4kAJuyXSHivZib2M9k$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON   33177932 33407977 34007970 34707887 35227873 34457745
            33587816 33117908 33177932=20


=3D =3D =3D
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