Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0035
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jan 04 2023 17:36:51

ACUS11 KWNS 041736
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041736=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-041930-

Mesoscale Discussion 0035
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1136 AM CST Wed Jan 04 2023

Areas affected...southeastern Georgia/northern Florida

Concerning...Tornado Watch 13...

Valid 041736Z - 041930Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 13 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe risk continues across southeastern Georgia and
northern Florida, where locally strong/damaging gusts and possibly a
brief tornado or two remain possible.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a line of showers and
thunderstorms across the Atlantic Coast states from southern
Virginia to northern Florida.  At this time, the most intense
segment within the broader line extends from southeastern Georgia
south-southwestward into the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Within this segment, several complex structures are noted, including
a fairly well-defined comma head/book-end vortex moving into
northern Ware County.  Associated with this portion of the line,
potential for locally damaging winds remains evident, along with
potential for a brief tornado or two.  However, widespread cloud
cover across all of southeastern Georgia and northern Florida should
mitigate any appreciable, further destabilization potential.  This,
combined with flow aloft that is expected to very gradually diminish
with time, suggests that risk should remain steady-state at best, as
storms move toward coastal Georgia and across northern Florida over
the next couple of hours.

...Goss.. 01/04/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8geFNii-1tAk_4rQFfUh1L04tm5D3Erj_XnMfVqJWJNAfG-AT3sfPJDw_hE6A4StQBiEhNcTj=
n8z2JywqT4DH_Ex_oo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON   29748391 30768298 31888238 31988101 30708146 29798256
            29748391=20


=3D =3D =3D
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