Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jan 04 2023 09:43:17

ACUS48 KWNS 040943
SWOD48
SPC AC 040941

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0341 AM CST Wed Jan 04 2023

Valid 071200Z - 121200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms will be possible on Day 4/Saturday across parts of TX
into LA as a weak surface low and mid/upper shortwave trough shift
east across the central U.S. Adequate boundary-layer moisture will
exist ahead of a southeastward-advancing cold front across southern
TX and the TX coast vicinity. Modest shear will overlap the area
early in the day, but weakening with time as the upper trough and
larger-scale forcing eject east/northeast. While a few strong storms
may be possible, severe potential appears too limited to include a
15 percent delineation at this time.

Beyond Day 4/Saturday, surface high pressure will dominate and
dry/stable boundary-layer conditions are expected. Severe
thunderstorms are not expected through the middle of the week.

...Leitman.. 01/04/2023

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