Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0009
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 02 2023 22:48:33

ACUS11 KWNS 022248
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022248=20
TNZ000-KYZ000-030045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0009
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0448 PM CST Mon Jan 02 2023

Areas affected...Middle TN into far south-central KY

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 022248Z - 030045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind and marginal hail will be possible
as a storm cluster moves northeastward this evening. Watch issuance
is unlikely.

DISCUSSION...A thunderstorm cluster has recently organized across
middle TN, along the eastern periphery of the buoyant warm sector
associated with a gradually deepening cyclone across the southern
Plains. Modest buoyancy (MLCAPE of around 500 J/kg) is in place
downstream of this cluster, with effective shear of 40-45 kt
supporting some storm organization. Limited instability will likely
temper the severe threat with this cluster as it moves
northeastward, but locally damaging gusts and/or isolated marginal
hail will be possible into early evening. Watch issuance is
currently considered unlikely.

...Dean/Thompson.. 01/02/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8H47dgy9z3Zdb3TO1ACPzAuoFGRSupum1B-PLWwzNJ1aBsTq3ouYtllZp29vS_CCyViZrPj6h=
jfN4fC3PQLHedhujFI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...

LAT...LON   35678663 35488783 36328745 36788667 36758606 36268610
            35798652 35678663=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.