Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 02 2023 08:41:28

ACUS48 KWNS 020841
SWOD48
SPC AC 020839

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0239 AM CST Mon Jan 02 2023

Valid 051200Z - 101200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Severe potential will be low through the Day 4-8 period. A fairly
progressive upper pattern will persist with a series of upper trough
tracking across the CONUS. A cold front moving offshore the Atlantic
coast and across the Gulf of Mexico in the Day 3/Wednesday period
will result in a dearth of boundary-layer moisture by Day
4/Thursday. Surface high pressure will generally persist, keeping
Gulf moisture offshore for much of the period. The exception may be
a developing surface low tracking across the southern Plains and
Mid-South vicinity during the weekend. This could bring some modest
moisture northward across TX and support some thunderstorm potential
to portions of the south-central states on Day 6/Saturday. However,
severe thunderstorms are not expected at this time. Any moisture
return over the weekend will quickly be depleted as another cold
front moves southeast into the Gulf on Days 7/8-Sunday/Monday.

...Leitman.. 01/02/2023

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