Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Dec 29 2022 16:24:17

ACUS02 KWNS 291623
SWODY2
SPC AC 291622

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CST Thu Dec 29 2022

Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY FROM
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION....

....SUMMARY...
Isolated damaging gusts are possible on Friday along the central
Gulf Coast.

An upper trough currently over northwest Mexico will track eastward
across south TX into the western Gulf of Mexico on Friday.
Southerly low-level winds ahead of the trough will maintain modest
influx of moisture, with dewpoints in the low-mid 60s and marginal
CAPE values across southern LA and far southern MS/AL.

A consensus of 12z model guidance indicates a line of thunderstorms
will extend from central LA into the Gulf at the beginning the
period.  This convection will track eastward into southern MS/AL
through the day, and into the western FL panhandle after dark. The
main upper support will lift north of this region, while the
greatest instability will remain offshore.  Nevertheless, a few
strong storms are possible, with locally damaging wind gusts or
perhaps a tornado or two.

...Hart.. 12/29/2022

$$

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