Subj : HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Dec 28 2022 08:30:00

FOUS30 KWBC 280829
QPFERD

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
329 AM EST Wed Dec 28 2022

Day 1
Valid 12Z Wed Dec 28 2022 - 12Z Thu Dec 29 2022

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF
ARIZONA...

The flash flooding threat today will remain temporally confined to
the morning hours over portions of central and southern Arizona,
as remnant moisture from the coastal atmospheric river event
pushes through the Southwest along a staunch cold front. PWATs may
hover around an inch with anomalies between +2 to +3 standard
deviations in southern/central Arizona this morning before quickly
advecting southward and diminishing. The marginal risk area is
cutoff on the northeastern edge along the Mogollon Rim and White
Mountains, where light to moderate snowfall is expected.

Kebede


Day 2

The Day 2 outlook will be updated by 0830Z.


Day 3

The Day 3 outlook will be updated by 0830Z.


Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!6IfoLTuOaWznMYMzvWVkaSq2sNpkOMt16r8EO56vbMlM=
XoAvcyf7lopT_8lvsCVHewJbioIS7PFfLNP6k6_QdnApNJY$=20
Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!6IfoLTuOaWznMYMzvWVkaSq2sNpkOMt16r8EO56vbMlM=
XoAvcyf7lopT_8lvsCVHewJbioIS7PFfLNP6k6_QZaNk4fE$=20
Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!6IfoLTuOaWznMYMzvWVkaSq2sNpkOMt16r8EO56vbMlM=
XoAvcyf7lopT_8lvsCVHewJbioIS7PFfLNP6k6_QvmP9-AU$=20


$$



=3D =3D =3D
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