Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Dec 23 2022 19:55:23

ACUS01 KWNS 231955
SWODY1
SPC AC 231953

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0153 PM CST Fri Dec 23 2022

Valid 232000Z - 241200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated lightning flashes will be possible today across parts of
New England and south Florida.

....20z update...
Only minor adjustments were made to the thunder areas in New England
and across South Florida to account for current radar/observational
trends, otherwise the previous outlook reasoning remains on track.

...Bunting.. 12/23/2022

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1022 AM CST Fri Dec 23 2022/

....Synopsis...
A deepening cyclone will develop northward across southwestern ON
and western QC, within the left exit region of a 170 kt jet streak
that will rotate around the eastern periphery of a deep mid-upper
low over the Great Lakes.  South of the cyclone, an arctic cold
front will continue to surge eastward across the Mid-Atlantic/New
England today, and southeastward into south FL.  Buoyancy rooted in
the mid levels will remain limited across New England, with only
isolated lightning flashes expected with embedded/elevated
convection.  A narrow/forced band of showers, and very isolated
lightning flashes, will move quickly offshore of NJ prior to 17z.
Otherwise, the primary pre-frontal band of convection has shifted
southward into the FL Straits, and only isolated thunderstorms will
be possible this afternoon along the cold front/wind shift.

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.