Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Dec 20 2022 00:41:59

ACUS01 KWNS 200041
SWODY1
SPC AC 200040

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0640 PM CST Mon Dec 19 2022

Valid 200100Z - 201200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
The severe-thunderstorm threat is expected to be low for the rest of
tonight.

....01Z Update...
An ongoing area of convection from the north-central Gulf of Mexico
into the lower MS Valley region is expected to spread eastward
tonight, in conjunction with a mid/upper-level shortwave trough and
associated warm-air advection regime. The strongest storms are still
expected to remain offshore, with limited potential for
surface-based destabilization over land. Elevated convection capable
of small hail remains possible near the immediate Gulf Coast, but
weak instability should limit the severe hail potential. Otherwise,
elevated buoyancy may be sufficient for sporadic lightning flashes
tonight into parts of the lower MS Valley.

...Dean.. 12/20/2022

$$

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