Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Dec 18 2022 00:56:13

ACUS01 KWNS 180056
SWODY1
SPC AC 180054

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Sat Dec 17 2022

Valid 180100Z - 181200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms are possible tonight over parts of south Florida
and the Keys.

....South FL...
Isolated thunderstorms developed over South FL and adjacent coastal
waters this afternoon and early evening in the vicinity of a diffuse
front characterized by weakly convergent low-level flow and modest
surface-based instability.  Short-range guidance suggests additional
isolated to widely scattered thunderstorm potential during the
overnight hours as a weak surface low develops over the eastern Gulf
of Mexico and moves east towards South FL and the Keys. Moderately
strong mid-level flow may contribute to some degree of organization
and the potential for gusty winds, however poor lapse rates in the
low/mid levels should temper overall updraft intensities and severe
weather is not anticipated.

...Bunting.. 12/18/2022

$$

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