Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Dec 10 2022 17:05:40

ACUS02 KWNS 101705
SWODY2
SPC AC 101703

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1103 AM CST Sat Dec 10 2022

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EAST TEXAS ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND INTO SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI....

....SUMMARY...
A line of thunderstorms with locally damaging wind gusts is possible
Saturday morning across portions of east Texas, across southern
Louisiana and info southwest Mississippi.

....Synopsis...
A dampening weak shortwave will move across Louisiana/Mississippi
Sunday morning. The passage of this shortwave will help push a
surface cold front southward across the region during the day.
Farther west, a trough and associated strong mid-level jet will
advance inland across the western CONUS with widespread thunderstorm
activity associated with the cold air aloft.

....Portions of the east Texas across southern Louisiana and into
southwest Mississippi...
As a weak mid-level shortwave trough advances east across Texas
today (Saturday), a cluster of strong to marginally severe storms is
expected to develop. By Sunday morning, an MCS will likely be
located somewhere in east Texas/western Louisiana. Despite the
unfavorable diurnal timing, low-level moisture advection off the
Gulf should sustain ample instability for some marginal severe
threat to continue Sunday morning. However, by mid-day Sunday, the
threat is expected to wane as low-level jet support weakens, and the
storms move east of the best low-level moisture.

A few locally damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat during
the morning hour. A few storms may redevelop later in the day along
the cold front, but are not expected to be strong enough to support
any severe weather threat.

...Bentley.. 12/10/2022

$$

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