Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Dec 09 2022 07:03:23

ACUS02 KWNS 090703
SWODY2
SPC AC 090701

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0101 AM CST Fri Dec 09 2022

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Appreciable severe-weather risk is not apparent over the U.S. on
Saturday.

....Discussion...
As an eastern Pacific upper trough digs southeastward toward the
West Coast Saturday, a weak lead wave is expected to shift
east-northeastward across the Desert Southwest and adjacent northern
Mexico through the day, and then into/across the southern Plains
overnight.  As this occurs, a weak/remnant surface baroclinic zone
extending from Texas into the central Gulf Coast states will
eventually begin advancing slowly southeastward across Texas.

Showers are expected to expand across the western U.S. ahead of the
advancing trough, with greatest potential for any embedded lightning
still most likely across portions of the Oregon/northern California
coasts.

Across the southern Plains and into the Tennessee/Lower Mississippi
Valleys, showers and occasional thunderstorms are expected during
the period, in the vicinity of the aforementioned weak frontal zone.

With time, increasing southeasterly low-level flow across
eastern/southeastern Texas, advecting Gulf moisture northward and
contributing to an increase in both low-level and deep-layer shear,
suggests an environment that may become minimally supportive of
weakly rotating showers and isolated thunderstorms.  At this time,
any tornado potential later in the period across portions of this
area appears too low to highlight with a 2%/MRGL area.

...Goss.. 12/09/2022

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.