Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Dec 08 2022 19:52:50

ACUS01 KWNS 081952
SWODY1
SPC AC 081951

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 PM CST Thu Dec 08 2022

Valid 082000Z - 091200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through early Friday.

....Discussion...
No change was made to the previous convective outlook.

...Smith.. 12/08/2022

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Thu Dec 08 2022/

....TX to TN...
Morning surface analysis shows a quasi-stationary boundary extending
from central TX northeastward into the TN Valley.  Rich low-level
moisture is present to the south of the boundary, with dewpoints in
the mid-upper 60s noted.  However, poor mid-level lapse rates and
relatively warm temperatures aloft will limit CAPE values and the
overall threat of deep convection.  This corridor also lies beneath
general large-scale ridging, suggesting little organized lift will
occur.  Therefore, scattered showers but only isolated thunderstorms
are expected in vicinity of the front this forecast period.

$$

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