Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Dec 03 2022 12:32:05

ACUS01 KWNS 031231
SWODY1
SPC AC 031230

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 AM CST Sat Dec 03 2022

Valid 031300Z - 041200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.

....Synopsis...
A midlevel shortwave trough will move quickly eastward from the
lower Great Lakes across New England today, to the south of a deep
vortex near Hudson Bay, and north of a subtropical ridge over the
Gulf of Mexico.  A surface cold front will begin to slow its
southeastward movement across the lower MS Valley, and the front
will move offshore of the Mid-Atlantic this evening and eastern NC
early tonight.  Low-level moisture will remain greater toward the
Gulf coast where forcing for ascent will slowly weaken with time
along the slowing front, and midlevel buoyancy appears to already be
diminishing farther north in advance of the front, from the southern
Appalachians to VA.  Overall, while isolated lightning flashes will
be possible early today (primarily from LA to AL), the threat for
thunderstorms is expected to largely diminish by later today.
Otherwise, a few thunderstorms will be possible tonight near and
just east of the NC Outer Banks as the cold front encounters a
narrow corridor of increasing low-level moisture over the Gulf
Stream.

Farther west, a midlevel low will move slowly eastward toward
northern CA, where there may be sufficient midlevel cooling for
isolated/low-topped thunderstorms late tonight near the coast.

...Thompson/Gleason.. 12/03/2022

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.