Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1982
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Nov 29 2022 21:36:09

ACUS11 KWNS 292136
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292135=20
ALZ000-292330-

Mesoscale Discussion 1982
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0335 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

Areas affected...Parts of northern and central Alabama

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely=20

Valid 292135Z - 292330Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...A downstream tornado watch is likely for parts of
northern/central Alabama as severe storms move out of MS.

DISCUSSION...Some intensification has been noted in storms occurring
in central Mississippi. At 328 PM CST, a tornado was confirmed near
Vaiden, MS. These storms will continue northeastward and eventually
impact parts of northern/central Alabama. Low 70s F temperatures,
upper 60s F dewpoints, and subtly backed surface winds ahead of
these storms will continue to promote a threat for tornadoes, some
of which could be strong. It is likely a downstream tornado watch
will need to be issued for parts of northern/central Alabama later
this afternoon. The primary questions will be how far north and east
the risk will exist. Earlier elevated storms have cooled the airmass
in northern Alabama while moisture has been slower to return
northward from around Birmingham eastward.

...Wendt/Hart.. 11/29/2022

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8B_Djtal6FfO5J_8EfGi6a9YvHHA2AzEMjll0vaPBnc5LJXlf7k1tpqf7wtrAhjhWgwb0EyXU=
Tatu9yJP70jFrcq-F4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   32508829 34228816 34468807 34548745 34338689 33538653
            32418727 32388797 32508829=20


=3D =3D =3D
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