Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Tue Nov 29 2022 17:12:10 ACUS02 KWNS 291712 SWODY2 SPC AC 291710 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1110 AM CST Tue Nov 29 2022 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ....SUMMARY... Thunderstorms capable of locally damaging winds and a tornado or two will be possible across parts of the Southeast on Wednesday, with the primary threat expected during the morning hours. ....Southeast... Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at 12Z Wednesday morning, from near the mouth of the Mississippi River northeastward into parts of GA/SC. Initially strong low-level shear and sufficient buoyancy will support a threat of locally damaging gusts and a brief tornado or two with these storms during the morning hours. A gradual weakening trend is expected with time as the stronger large-scale ascent moves northeastward away from the region, and deep-layer flow/shear gradually weakens. Some threat for locally strong gusts could persist into the early afternoon across parts of southwest GA and the FL Peninsula, before convection diminishes across north FL. ....Northeast/New England... The strong and progressive mid/upper-level trough initially over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley will move eastward into New England by Wednesday evening. A strong cold front will move through Mid Atlantic and Northeast through the day, with very modest low-level moisture return expected along/ahead of the front. Increasing moisture and favorable low-level convergence and large-scale ascent may support development of a somewhat organized frontal band within the larger precipitation shield. Strong wind gusts could accompany any such frontal band, but with SBCAPE currently forecast to be negligible across the region, the potential for convectively enhanced gusts appears too limited for wind probabilities at this time. ...Dean.. 11/29/2022 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .