Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Nov 27 2022 00:41:20

ACUS01 KWNS 270041
SWODY1
SPC AC 270039

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0639 PM CST Sat Nov 26 2022

Valid 270100Z - 271200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST...

....SUMMARY...
There is a risk of a tornado or two and locally damaging winds
tonight along portions of the central Gulf Coast.

....01z Update...

Upper low is currently located along the OK/TX border, ejecting
northeast in line with latest model guidance. Strongest 500mb flow
has now translated through the base of the trough and will migrate
into the northern Gulf States/TN Valley later tonight as the upper
low shifts toward STL by the end of the period. Organized, deep
convection that evolved within the warm advection zone earlier in
the day has progressed into western AL, trailing south-southwest
into the northern Gulf Basin where the majority of lightning is
currently occurring. Upper 60s to around 70F surface dew points have
advanced inland from extreme southeast MS into the western FL
Panhandle. Forecast soundings suggest this is adequate for
surface-based buoyancy which could aid the prospect for damaging
winds along with a tornado or two. Strongly sheared environment
favors organized clusters along with supercells. Severe threat will
shift east into the western FL Panhandle later this evening.

...Darrow.. 11/27/2022

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.