Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Sat Nov 26 2022 17:24:16 ACUS02 KWNS 261724 SWODY2 SPC AC 261722 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1122 AM CST Sat Nov 26 2022 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to be low on Sunday. ....Synopsis... A closed upper-low currently in the southern Plains will become more of an open wave on Saturday before quickly accelerating through the Mid-South and into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast by late Sunday. A surface low is also expected to follow a similar track. Associated with this surface low, a cold front will progress through the Southeast Sunday morning into the afternoon. A secondary cold front will be present in the upper Midwest, moving eastward into the lower/middle Ohio Valley by later afternoon. ....Parts of Southeast into the Carolinas... Ongoing storms and precipitation along and ahead of the cold front are expected at the beginning of the period. This activity should serve to subdue diurnal heating and limit the development of more substantial buoyancy during the day. With mid-level ascent moving quickly to the northeast, potential for severe thunderstorms in parts of Georgia and north Florida will likely be limited. With slightly greater mid-level ascent, storm coverage in the Carolinas will likely be greater than areas to the south and west. Strong wind fields will be in place ahead of the cold front. Some conditional potential would exist for a strong/damaging wind gust and perhaps a brief tornado. However, the poor thermodynamics expected increases doubt as to the coverage of truly surface-based storms. ....Upper Ohio Valley... Precipitation is also expected to be ongoing early in the period. Model soundings do indicate some clearing is possible just ahead of the shortwave trough that will pass during the early/mid afternoon. Some moisture return ahead of the front may support some very low-topped convection. Due to the strong wind fields at low levels, some risk for a strong/damaging wind gusts will exist with this activity. However, confidence in sustained, stronger activity is low. ...Wendt.. 11/26/2022 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .