Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Nov 26 2022 07:38:44

ACUS03 KWNS 260738
SWODY3
SPC AC 260737

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0137 AM CST Sat Nov 26 2022

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe-thunderstorm potential appears low on Monday.

....Synopsis...
A longwave trough is forecast to deepen and gradually move eastward
across parts of the western/central CONUS on Monday. As this occurs,
a surface cyclone will deepen across the south-central High Plains,
with richer low-level moisture expected to begin returning northward
across parts of TX/LA Monday night into early Tuesday morning.

Thunderstorm potential will be limited during the day on Monday due
to a lack of instability across the CONUS, but elevated convection
will be possible late in the forecast period from central TX into
the ArkLaTex region, in association with increasing moisture and a
strengthening low-level jet. While deep-layer flow/shear will be
increasing with time, elevated buoyancy appears too limited to
support a severe-thunderstorm threat prior to 12Z Tuesday morning.

...Dean.. 11/26/2022

$$

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