Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Nov 25 2022 00:49:36

ACUS01 KWNS 250049
SWODY1
SPC AC 250047

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0647 PM CST Thu Nov 24 2022

Valid 250100Z - 251200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA...

....SUMMARY...
A few strong storms remain possible tonight, primarily across
southern Louisiana.

....01z Update...

Low-latitude short-wave trough is ejecting across south TX early
this evening. An expansive shield of precipitation with embedded
convection is noted ahead of this feature over the lower MS Valley.
Strongest storms extend across coastal southwest LA into the
northwest Gulf Basin, just off the upper TX coast. 00z sounding from
LIX exhibited ample MUCAPE for lightning with elevated convection.
However, most buoyant air mass has struggled to advance inland and
there is little reason to believe significant destabilization will
occur ahead of the short wave. For these reasons it appears only a
marginal risk for a few strong storms continues tonight, primarily
across southern LA.

...Darrow.. 11/25/2022

$$

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