Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Nov 19 2022 11:50:17

ACUS01 KWNS 191150
SWODY1
SPC AC 191148

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0548 AM CST Sat Nov 19 2022

Valid 191300Z - 201200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Synopsis...
A broad upper trough will persist from Hudson Bay into the
north-central and northeast states, as an embedded shortwave shifts
east from the Upper Midwest across the Great Lakes. A shortwave
impulse centered on AZ will slowly drift southeast across the state
through early Sunday.

....Discussion...
A few areas of thunderstorm development will be possible through the
period. First, ongoing elevated thunderstorms across south TX,
driven by low-level warm theta-e advection, will likely continue
this morning before waning this afternoon. Weak moisture return amid
an increasingly easterly component to low-level flow may support
isolated thunderstorms in far south FL over the Keys and the tip of
the peninsula tonight. Lastly, a few lightning flashes may occur in
the immediate lee of the Lower Great Lakes where lake-effect snow
bands are expected to restrengthen tonight.

...Grams.. 11/19/2022

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.