Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Nov 18 2022 16:32:41

ACUS01 KWNS 181632
SWODY1
SPC AC 181630

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Fri Nov 18 2022

Valid 181630Z - 191200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Discussion...
Most of the CONUS will be influenced by longwave troughing and
associated cool/cold continental trajectories. Related to a belt of
southern-stream westerlies, weak cyclogenesis is expected over the
northwest Gulf of Mexico late tonight, with increasing warm
advection and the gradual development of weak elevated buoyancy near
the Texas coast. This may support isolated thunderstorm development
late tonight/early Saturday.

Occasional lightning flashes will also continue through this
evening, particularly in vicinity of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario in
association with lake-effect snow bands. This convective potential
should somewhat diminish late tonight.

...Guyer/Thornton.. 11/18/2022

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.