Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Nov 17 2022 06:01:00

ACUS03 KWNS 170600
SWODY3
SPC AC 170600

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 AM CST Thu Nov 17 2022

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
Saturday through Saturday night.

....Discussion...
Models still indicate that the higher latitude western North
American mid/upper ridging will continue to weaken and begin to lose
amplitude during this period.  As this occurs, downstream flow is
forecast to back from a northerly to northwesterly component across
the Canadian Prairies and northern U.S. Great Plains, in the wake of
large-scale troughing receding into the Northeast and eastern
Canadian Provinces.  However, as mid-level troughing within a
separate branch of westerlies only slowly pivots southeastward near
the Southwestern international border, cold surface ridging likely
will be maintained beneath confluent flow east of the southern
Rockies into the Ohio Valley and Southeast.  Aside from a lingering
risk for weak thunderstorm activity near lower Texas coastal areas
early Saturday, and some continuing risk for lightning in low-topped
lake-effect convective bands near Lakes Erie and Ontario, the risk
for thunderstorms appears negligible across much of the remainder of
the U.S. through 12Z Sunday and beyond.

...Kerr.. 11/17/2022

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.