Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Nov 15 2022 17:15:19

ACUS02 KWNS 151715
SWODY2
SPC AC 151713

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1113 AM CST Tue Nov 15 2022

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
The risk of severe thunderstorms appears low across the U.S.
Wednesday through Wednesday night.

....Synopsis...
A deep upper trough will remain in place over much of the CONUS on
Wednesday. A surface low is forecast to deepen as it moves from
offshore of the Mid Atlantic northeastward toward the Canadian
Maritimes. A cold front attendant to this surface low will continue
moving southward across the Gulf of Mexico and FL Peninsula. In the
wake of the cold front and under the influence of an expansive
surface ridge, dry/stable conditions are expected across most of the
CONUS, with minimal thunderstorm risk.

....Coastal New England...
The primary convective risk is expected across coastal portions of
southern New England, where some increase in low-level moisture and
instability is expected near the track of the surface low. Wind
profiles will become conditionally favorable for organized
convection along/ahead of the low track, but with surface-based
instability expected to remain quite limited, severe-thunderstorm
potential still appears low.

...Dean.. 11/15/2022

$$

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