Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Nov 13 2022 05:39:04

ACUS01 KWNS 130538
SWODY1
SPC AC 130537

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1137 PM CST Sat Nov 12 2022

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
Sunday through Sunday night.

....Synopsis...

Several upper shortwave troughs embedded within larger-scale
troughing across the CONUS and Canada will pivot eastward on Sunday.
A closed upper low over the Southwest will migrate toward the
southern Rockies. Strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will spread
across the Four Corners region while a surface cold front shifts
southeast. While this system will likewise bring increasing forcing
for ascent, meager boundary-layer and mid-level moisture will limit
instability, precluding thunderstorm potential.

Another surface cold front will extend from a low offshore the
Mid-Atlantic coast into northern FL. The front will sag southward
into central FL before becoming more diffuse across south FL. Poor
frontal convergence and weak large-scale ascent in conjunction with
poor midlevel lapse rates and weak vertical shear will preclude
thunderstorm potential ahead of the cold front.

...Leitman.. 11/13/2022

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.