Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1947
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Nov 11 2022 22:00:56

ACUS11 KWNS 112200
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112200=20
TXZ000-112330-

Mesoscale Discussion 1947
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0400 PM CST Fri Nov 11 2022

Areas affected...Middle TX Coast...South-Central TX

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 112200Z - 112330Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...A few strong to severe storms may develop ahead of the
front across south-central TX and the middle TX Coast. Convective
trends will be monitored and small watch may be needed.

DISCUSSION...Recent radar and satellite imagery shows an area of
deepening cumulus ahead of the front in the Bee county vicinity.
Warm low/mid-level temperature and undercutting nature of the front
have limited deep convection thus far. The overall pre-frontal
environment remains favorable for large hail and/or strong gusts
with any mature updrafts. The developing storms may be far enough
ahead of the front to mature before the it arrives, but the overall
evolution of these storms remains uncertain. Convective
development/evolution will be monitored and small watch may be
needed if trends merit.

...Mosier/Thompson.. 11/11/2022

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7hZWjrOb61YsfN2cZ0acQ0_R7B1xTGiy0uWOyBehKehnzkkW8riqlmZVaKgkP9k6DZKQpIDW7=
gMHwfyPLFQc_JiEUDk$   for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON   28349932 28779775 28939682 28259687 27809740 27649881
            28349932=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.