Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Nov 11 2022 00:38:20

ACUS01 KWNS 110038
SWODY1
SPC AC 110036

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 PM CST Thu Nov 10 2022

Valid 110100Z - 111200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
CAROLINAS INTO FAR EASTERN GEORGIA...

....SUMMARY...
A couple brief tornadoes remain possible from far eastern Georgia
into parts of the Carolinas. Marginally severe hail may occur late
tonight into Friday morning over parts of southwest Texas.

....GA/SC/NC...
Strong low-level shear and moistening low levels to the right of the
track of TC Nicole will continue to favor low-topped convection with
the potential for brief tornadoes within the stronger convective
bands. The most favorable areas will be from the GA/SC border this
evening northeastward into southern NC tonight as dewpoints rise
into the lower 70s F. The 00Z CHS sounding shows minimal SBCAPE with
a 70 F dewpoint, suggesting higher values may be required for a
tornado risk.

....Southwestern TX...
A cold front will surge south across TX tonight with cooling aloft
with the approaching upper trough. This front may focus storm
development after 09Z Friday morning as low 60s F dewpoints get
undercut. Forecast soundings show lengthy, straight hodographs and
cool temperatures which could favor elevated storms producing
marginally severe hail.

...Jewell.. 11/11/2022

$$

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