Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Sun Nov 06 2022 17:18:09 ACUS02 KWNS 061718 SWODY2 SPC AC 061716 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1116 AM CST Sun Nov 06 2022 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Monday. ....Synopsis... An upper low is forecast to progress gradually southward along the Pacific Northwest coast on Monday. Several shortwave troughs will rotate around this low, including one expected to move from northern CA northeastward through the northern Rockies during the day Monday and another that is expected to approach the central CA coast early Tuesday morning. Persistent forcing for ascent amid cold mid-level temperatures will support isolated lightning flashes across the Pacific Northwest coast throughout the day and overnight. A few flashes are also possible across more inland areas of northern and central CA as the previously mentioned shortwave trough moves through late Monday night/early Tuesday morning. Downstream of this deepening Pacific Northwest/CA upper low, shortwave ridging is expected to amplify across the Plains. As it does, persistent southwesterly flow aloft will gradually strengthen and surface lee troughing will become more defined. In response, low-level southerly flow will strengthen, fostering moisture advection across the southern and central Plains. By early Tuesday morning, mid 60s dewpoints may be as far north as central OK, with uppers 60s/low 70s along the TX Gulf Coast. Isolated thunderstorms are anticipated within this warm-air advection regime, likely beginning the day in an arc from south TX through the Arklatex into southern AR. This corridor is expected to gradually shift northwestward throughout the day and overnight, possibly reaching from the TX Panhandle into central KS by early Tuesday morning. Severe potential will be mitigated by limited buoyancy. ...Mosier.. 11/06/2022 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .