Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Sat Nov 05 2022 17:10:24 ACUS02 KWNS 051710 SWODY2 SPC AC 051708 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1208 PM CDT Sat Nov 05 2022 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Sunday. ....Synopsis... A belt of predominately zonal westerly flow aloft will stretch across the northern and central CONUS early Sunday morning. Several shortwave troughs will be embedded within this westerly flow, including one initially over the Canadian Prairie Provinces and northern Plains and another dropping into the Pacific Northwest. The northern Plains shortwave is forecast to progress eastward throughout the period, moving through much of Ontario and the Upper Great Lakes by Monday morning. A cold front will accompany this wave, but limited low-level moisture will preclude thunderstorm development across the Plains and Mid MS Valley. strong forcing for ascent and cold mid-level temperatures associated with the Pacific Northwest shortwave support a few isolated thunderstorms along the immediate coastal areas. Low-level convergence along a weakening cold front will likely support isolated thunderstorms from western VA across Carolinas and into GA. Isolated storms are possible amid the low- to mid-level westerly flow across FL as well. Lastly, isolated thunderstorms may also occur late Sunday night into early Monday morning across parts of central/northeast TX into the lower MS Valley, as low-level moisture returns northward in a modest low-level warm advection regime. Weak instability across all regions with convective potential is expected to limit any appreciable severe risk. ...Mosier.. 11/05/2022 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .