Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Nov 04 2022 08:02:05

ACUS48 KWNS 040801
SWOD48
SPC AC 040800

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0300 AM CDT Fri Nov 04 2022

Valid 071200Z - 121200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Low-level moisture should continue streaming northward across much
of the southern/central Plains on Day 4/Monday, as an upper trough
moves slowly eastward over the western CONUS. With the upper trough
eventually forecast to eject over the Plains, some severe potential
may exist around the middle of next week across parts of the
northern/central Plains into the Upper Midwest. However, there is
still a fair amount of uncertainty regarding the timing of the upper
trough's ejection, the quality of low-level moisture return, and
related instability. Accordingly, predictability for an organized
severe thunderstorm episode appears too low to include any 15%
severe delineations from Day 5/Tuesday onward.

...Gleason.. 11/04/2022

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