Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Fri Nov 04 2022 07:09:40 ACUS03 KWNS 040709 SWODY3 SPC AC 040708 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0208 AM CDT Fri Nov 04 2022 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Sunday. ....Synopsis and Discussion... An upper trough/low will move slowly southward along/near the coast of the Pacific Northwest on Sunday. Strong forcing for ascent associated with a mid-level jet, along with cool mid-level temperatures, should aid in modest destabilization along the coast through the day. Isolated lighting flashes appear possible with low-topped convection that moves onshore, even though instability is forecast to remain quite weak. Farther east, another upper trough/low should be present over central Canada into the Upper Midwest. A broad belt of enhanced mid-level west-southwesterly flow is forecast to extend over much of the northern/central Plains to the Great Lakes and Northeast. Isolated convection may occur along/ahead of a cold front Sunday across parts of southern VA into the Carolinas. Negligible instability forecast across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast should generally limit lighting potential with northward extent across these regions. Isolated thunderstorms may also occur late Sunday night into early Monday morning across parts of the ArkLaTex and lower MS Valley, as low-level moisture returns northward in a modest low-level warm advection regime. Weak instability across all regions with convective potential is expected to limit any appreciable severe risk. ...Gleason.. 11/04/2022 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .