Subj : Re: Crossings vs. encount
To   : JEFF THIELE
From : Mike Powell
Date : Tue Oct 11 2022 15:58:00

> The difference is that the Border Patrol says that "encounters" are events,
> not people. If one attempts to use the "encounter" number as a "people"
> number, then one would arrive at an incorrect estimate of the number of
> people trying to cross the border.

OK, so if they encountered illegal Jeff and illegal Mike and lllegal Aaron
together at the same time, that is one encounter with a group of three people?
That does make sense.

>  MP> The only way they'd not have a close corelation would be if the illegals
>  MP> are indeed crossing and not encountering an agent in large enough numbers
>  MP> for it to matter.  Aaron and others do think this is true, and I may be
>  MP> wrong, but I am thinking that you don't.  So, if they are wrong, the
>  MP> numbers should be nearly the same.

> Aaron is potentially confusing the number of encounters (events) with the
> number of migrants (people) attempting to cross the border.

Sounds like maybe so.  Sounds like the number of encounters should be
less-than the number of migrants.


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