Subj : Crossings vs. encounters
To   : JEFF THIELE
From : Mike Powell
Date : Mon Oct 10 2022 17:52:00

>  MP> If you have multiple encounters with the same individual, wouldn't that
>  MP> likely indicate that this person also crossed more than once, i.e. if
>  MP> they encounter John Doe 5 times, that would likely mean he crossed (and
>  MP> was sent back) 5 times?

> Presumably, yes.

>  MP> If that correlation is not close to equal, I would suggest they are
>  MP> overcounting their encounters.

> They would only be overcounting encounters if your definition of an
> "encounter" is different from theirs, which it appears to be. That is even
> more reason not to equate "encounters" with "crossings."

You come to contradictory conclusions here.  You see that, right?

Just to be sure... you agree that my definition of "encounter" is
"presumably" correct in regards to how they would count encounters, but then
say that my definition must be different than theirs.

If they are doing as claimed, and sending illegals back, if they encounter
them more than once, said illegal is crossing more than once.

What I was getting at is that, if what I said at the top here is true, and
you agreed was "presumably" so, then encounters should equate, or at least
have a very close correlation to, crossings.  That makes me wonder why you
were claiming there is a difference, or what you think the difference must
be.

The only way they'd not have a close corelation would be if the illegals
are indeed crossing and not encountering an agent in large enough numbers
for it to matter.  Aaron and others do think this is true, and I may be
wrong, but I am thinking that you don't.  So, if they are wrong, the
numbers should be nearly the same.


 * SLMR 2.1a * Business & science walk hand in sweaty hand
--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.