Subj : What happens if a power supply lowers the voltage by 90%
To   : Richard Menedetter
From : Michiel van der Vlist
Date : Mon Jan 16 2017 22:26:34

Hello Richard,

On Monday January 16 2017 21:40, you wrote to me:

 MV>> But the fact that IPv4 space can be sold and that in order to do
 MV>> that, they have to retrieve address space from their "normal"
 MV>> customers indicates that adresses are scarse.

 RM> Sure ... but not scarce enough.
 RM> UPC has switched to DS-Lite by default for their ISP customers.

UPC is a daughter of Liberty Global and switching to DS-Lite seems to be their global policy.

 RM> They also started a MVNO recently, and they are handing out PUBLIC v4
 RM> (only, no V6) addresses. Very few people need public v4 addresses on
 RM> their mobiles.

Here Ziggo ( also a daughter of Liberty Global) has entered into a partnership with Vodaphone. So they will be offering moble via the Vodaphone network. I do not know if they will offer IPv6, IPv4 or CGNAT.

 RM>>> So for me the conclusio is, that people who do not care will
 RM>>> loose their public v4 address. But anybody can get single v4
 RM>>> addresses for relatively cheap. I predict that v4 addresses will
 RM>>> stay cheap for "white male computer nerds" (as you put it)

 MV>> I predict that eventually they will become worthless. When
 MV>> "everyone" has IPv6, there will no longer be a substantial demand
 MV>> for IPv4 and so the price will drop to zero.

 RM> I agree ... the question is when will this point in time be ...
 RM> I really do not know ...

I do not know either. But as my fellow countryman and ex-Fidonetter Iljitsch van Beijnum already wrote in 2010: the transition will be ugly...

http://preview.tinyurl.com/8ak9cy9



Cheers, Michiel

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