Subj : Motives for attacks on Iran.
To   : ALL
From : BOB KLAHN
Date : Mon Jan 17 2011 22:05:42


 Anybody notice who wants us to attack Iran?

 Israel, yes, but also Saudi Arabia and other nearby Arab Sunni
 states. They claim it's because they fear Iran with a nuclear
 weapon. Yet it was the Saudis who financed Iraq's Nuke program
 back when they did have one.

 The Sunni states have long hated Iran, because it's a Shia
 state. Al Qaeda hates Iran probably more than they hate us.

 The all want us to take down Iran. And why would anyone believe
 it's for any reason other than they want the Shia beaten down?

 Also, remember, Iran is a democracy. It's heading for
 dictatorship as things are going, and that may well be why the
 current leadership want to provoke the US. They believe they can
 withstand whatever attack the US throws at them, and lose
 little. Esp if their nuke program really is peaceful. They don't
 lose a weapons program they don't have, the US comes out of it
 looking like ****, and probably winds up having to pay to
 rebuild the program.

 In the meantime the current Iranian leaders can use the attack
 as an excuse to eviserate Iranian democracy, and become full out
 dictators.

 OTOH, why does Israel want us fighting Iran? Fear of an Iranian
 nuke? Isreal has maybe a hundred. If Iran attacked Isreal with
 their one or two nukes there would be no Iran left at the end of
 the day. And the Iranians know that. They may be described as
 fanatics, but they aren't suicidal. Notice that the suicide
 bombers have been Sunni, esp Wahabi.

 So why want us to attack? How about, we are already bleeding
 from two wars. Iran is a much tougher target than either of the
 others were. An attack on Iran might trigger something so
 draining either the US will back off completely and disengage
 from the region, or let Israel do all the work in the first
 place.

 And why would Israel want the US out militarily, but still
 subsidizing them? Well, Israel is described as David facing
 Goliath, but, in reality, Isreal is the Middle Eastern Goliath,
 and the Arab states cannot stand against her. Back before the
 1967 war Isreal painted their situation as desperate and asked
 for more military aid. LBJ asked the CIA for their evaluation.

 The CIA reported back that Isreal will launch the first attack,
 and win. They said no Arab alliance could stand against Israel.
 And they were right on all points. It's still that way.

 So with the US out of the way, and free rein to attack at will,
 Israel could beat down the one country the rest of the Arabs
 fear, and dominate the Middle East.

 Everybody wins except us. Oh and the Sunni nations, but who
 cares about them?

 Problem is, Israel can't use their nukes, the US would not
 accept that. And they might well be biting off more than they
 can chew. Israel can beat any of them in an open war, but in a
 war of economic and political attrician they may be weaker than
 they realize.

 Once Iran gets the focus of the press, they can also point out
 that they supported us in the invasion of Afghanistan, and the
 democratization of Iraq. The only Middle Eastern Muslim nation
 to do so. Which puts us in an even worse light.

 So, just how do we win with this?

 And Israel has shown in the past they can sacrifice American
 interests for their own. Or, for that matter, anyone elses.

 Shouldn't we rethink this whole matter?



BOB KLAHN bob.klahn@sev.org   http://home.toltbbs.com/bobklahn

.... "Nemo exspectat Inquisitionem Hispanicam!" --Montius Pythonius
--- Via Silver Xpress V4.5/P [Reg]
 * Origin: Doc's Place BBS Fido Since 1991 docsplace.tzo.com (1:123/140)

.