Subj : Russia and China
To   : Kaelon
From : Andeddu
Date : Sun Jul 17 2022 17:57:38

  Re: Russia and China
  By: Kaelon to Andeddu on Sat Jul 16 2022 06:43 pm

 > I am not sure that I actually agree that China is a far better position than
 > any Western nation right now.  Yes, economically, they've centered
 > themselves as the world's producer.  But geopolitically, they are trapped.
 > More than 80% of Chinese territory is actually largely unusable and
 > unsuitable terrain, and given the distribution of this terrain and its vast
 > population, it is largely constrained and, in essence, an island.  And,
 > let's not forget, it is really at least five distinct cultures with visceral
 > hatred towards one another.
 >
 > As the global economy collapses over the next 6-12 months, China will be
 > forced to confront its reckoning on the disasterous socioeconomic
 > mismanagement of its population.  We're not even talking about the
 > predictable consequences of the One Child Policy - which has resulted in a
 > material disproportion of men over women, causing everything from forced
 > marriages and mass-rapes in the countryside to modern chattel slavery of
 > women in the cities - but broader population control measures during this
 > Pandemic.  That latter approach has resulted in a collapse of its
 > metropolitan economies, and the loss of global trading prestige.  No one
 > wants to attempt to enter Chinese exchanges now, not even Hong Kong (for
 > obvious reasons).  What a failure.


You've brought up some good points about China. I can see them creating a new
trading block with the other BRICs nations. They are also moving into the
Middle-East and securing much needed resources in conjunction with their
previous move into Africa.

I can foresee severe civil disruption occurring within the country which is
likely the reason for the implementation of the Social Credit system which is a
mechanism designed to breed compliance.

No country is shielded from the global downturn but I believe China will be
able to whether the storm better than most other nations. They have secured 2
years of grain supply for their entire population compared to Western nations,
including the USA, who appear to have only a 6 month supply in storage. They
have far better food security, more efficent energy production along with an
extensive manufacturing sector.

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