Subj : Russia and China
To   : Andeddu
From : Kaelon
Date : Sat Jul 16 2022 18:43:40

  Re: Re: Recession to Depression
  By: Andeddu to Kaelon on Tue Jul 12 2022 09:22 pm

 > I agree. The Russian Elites have been maneuvered themselves into a strong
 > position and have shielded their public from the extreme hardship that will
 > face The West's population. Their Elites are playing 4D chess while our
 > Elites are playing Blackjack. We are getting destroyed every single day and
 > the media can do nothing but lie and cheerlead us into what appears will
 > become WWIII.

Yes. There is no doubt that heads of militaries across the NATO alliance have been predicting the eruption of a Third World War.  For those of us actually in Cyber Defense, we feel that WW3 is already upon us because all of the cyber forces across the alliance are engaged with Russia and China.  Geopolitically, it's inevitable - especially with the blockading of Kaliningrad by the European Union - that Russia will move against the Baltic Republics to re-establish a supply corridor, or worse, just subjugate them.  Article 5 will surely be triggered, and Putin would love nothing more to see Article 5 fall apart, at least, before he perishes.  (Which, if you read the intelligence leaks, could be within months.)

 > The Chinese are in a far better position than any Western nation as they
 > hold the master-production for all our goods. Now that they are seriously
 > reducing their exports to the West, we will soon experince shortages and
 > price hikes. All Xi Jinping has to do now is unite his population by
 > creating a new middle-class, much like the USA did during the 50s-60s, in
 > order to secure their position as the premier world superpower. They will
 > soon have no use for the USA's soon-to-be worthless currency which has been
 > effectively printed into oblivion.

I am not sure that I actually agree that China is a far better position than any Western nation right now.  Yes, economically, they've centered themselves as the world's producer.  But geopolitically, they are trapped.  More than 80% of Chinese territory is actually largely unusable and unsuitable terrain, and given the distribution of this terrain and its vast population, it is largely constrained and, in essence, an island.  And, let's not forget, it is really at least five distinct cultures with visceral hatred towards one another.

As the global economy collapses over the next 6-12 months, China will be forced to confront its reckoning on the disasterous socioeconomic mismanagement of its population.  We're not even talking about the predictable consequences of the One Child Policy - which has resulted in a material disproportion of men over women, causing everything from forced marriages and mass-rapes in the countryside to modern chattel slavery of women in the cities - but broader population control measures during this Pandemic.  That latter approach has resulted in a collapse of its metropolitan economies, and the loss of global trading prestige.  No one wants to attempt to enter Chinese exchanges now, not even Hong Kong (for obvious reasons).  What a failure.
_____
-=: Kaelon :=-

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