Subj : Re: Great Replacement The
To   : Arelor
From : Kaelon
Date : Mon Jul 04 2022 11:58:59

  Re: Re: Great Replacement The
  By: Arelor to Kaelon on Fri Jun 24 2022 04:14 am

 > I don't think a proper war will last many years. With the debt bubble about
 > to explode in Europe and the bank about to stop purchasing more debt from
 > countries that need to sell debt in order not to go bankrupt, I think that
 > if Russia is not forced to give up soon enough, a number of European
 > countries will got "crack".

I agree that the economic picture is dire, but I don't think one can solely attribute it to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The global supply chain remains (irretrievably, according to many economists) broken on the other side of the Pandemic (which, let's face it, is not yet really over, despite everyone's best wishes).  Governments printing money have created the second serious blow with radicalized inflation that is truly "cracking" the socioeconomic classes and pushing us well past the Gilded Age in terms of the gulf between haves-and-have-nots.  Russia's invasion is partly responsible for a disruption in the global grain supply, but it has also galvanized both Europe and NATO as a whole by shaking it out of its delusion of a "post-war" world order.

 > Anybody who wants to obtain a military victory over us needs not seek
 > victory. He only has to outlasts us.

Very true.  There are deep systemic institutional problems in the European Union.  But the speed with which France, Germany, and much of the EU's core countries have lept to move away from Russian gas and towards self-sustainability, not to mention radical investment in their own militaries, reflects a deep disquiet with Russia's invasion.

Furthermore, Russia has demonstrated itself to being a paper tiger.  Its military failures are so vast that any outright "outlasting" of Europe will come at tremendous cost and certainly lead to its general collapse.  China, on the other hand, is quite another story.

_____
-=: Kaelon :=-

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