Subj : Great Replacement Theory To : Arelor From : Kaelon Date : Mon May 30 2022 16:08:52 Re: Great Replacement Theory By: Arelor to Kaelon on Mon May 30 2022 05:37 pm > I think you give governments too much credit if you think they have long > term plans to face demographic crisis. My experience is politicians only > attempt to solve issues that will apply over their mandate. IMO they are > using the demographic crisis as the good sounding excuse for rolling out > incentive programs to further their actual political goals (such as shipping > foreigners to certain areas or manipulating public opinion). I think democratic governments are absolutely short-sighted, but do not underestimate how countries are limited by the options presented to them based upon geopolitical realities. Yes, politicians in democracies are mostly interested in re-election, but most democratic states are, practically speaking, coalitions of oligarchies (especially plutocratic ones) which are interested in one thing above all else: continued growth. Geopolitics will drive decision-making and thinking around policies, though politics will often times resemble something very different (especially on cultural issues). > Also the US is starting to look like a bad example to use since it was > literally burning due to unsolved ethnocultural conflicts in what seems > three days ago. I think we are in a global period of re-examining democracy as a valid form of government, and if you believe President Xi of China, authoritarian regimes threaten the deliberative, consensus-generating world order with a potentially faster, more agile form of governance. Nevertheless, societal ills can generally only be addressed through deliberation and compromise - factors that authoritarian regimes cannot contend with. The United States, despite the January 6th Insurrection (wholly manufactured by President Trump and his supporters), and the many social challenges stemming from cultural, racial, and economic tensions (which have endured since our Founding, with episodes from the Civil War to Martin Luther King to Rodney King and now the Black Lives Matter movements), is still a suitable example for several reasons: 1. Despite our divisions and countless contradictions, the United States leverages its economic and political structures to ruthless and devastating effect in order to dominate the competitive landscape for science, technology, defense, and even healthcare. 2. While there is vast inequality in earning power, and the gap between the rich and the poor is reaching another apex similar to the Gilded Age of the 1880s-1920s, the United States is effective at delivering the largest national economy, which it achieves through a patrimonial federal subsidy of all of its critical industries. 3. While there are significant demographic challenges in the United States (with our native birth rates anywhere between 1,700 per 1,000 women to 2,080 per 1,000 women), our permissive immigration system allows our legalized (and visible) population to grow substantially, year-over-year, ensuring we continue to expand our population while concurrently leveraging our institutions and economic systems to attract the brightest talent from throughout the world. Again, the United States is not alone in its ability to democratically manage its demographic challenges through a variety of tools, while still maintaining social stability in ways that outperform other Western Countries. Britain, Canada, and Australia have achieved similar breakthroughs, with similar socioeconomic and ethnocultural challenges with which they must contend. But these challenges - and the social tensions that they cause - are well worth the benefits that increasing your population and maintaining a competitive edge in the global world order. I think that as the democracy vs. autocracy ideological debate rages on throughout the world (which is primarily a United States vs. China conflict, with Russia being a useful pawn in this exercise given the Ukraine War), you will see increasing instability in authoritarian governments that lack the means to contend with the social and economic strife that the unilateral "agility" of hierarchical decision-making affords/costs them. You are already seeing the general breakdown of public order, of economic stability, and of general institutional solvency in China due to the "Zero Covid" mandate, for example, which is largely representative of many of Xi's domestic failures stemming from - again - inability to successfully mediate the social, economic, and cultural tensions that run deep within modern Chinese society. Much as the United States has twelve distinct native culture (See: "The American Nations," for a good primer on our immigration / settlre genesis), China has at least five distinct native populations that - unlike in the United States' case - are deeply and violently opposed to one another. It will lead to a violent and brutal reckoning for China, eventually. I hope that by the time it does, China has a democratic framework with which to mediate the social and ethnocultural divisions. Otherwise, a Civil War is inevitable. _____ -=: Kaelon :=- --- þ Synchronet þ Vertrauen þ Home of Synchronet þ [vert/cvs/bbs].synchro.net .