From ceginfo@u.washington.edu Thu Aug 23 13:19:42 2001 Received: from jason04.u.washington.edu (jason04.u.washington.edu [140.142.8.53]) by lists.u.washington.edu (8.11.2+UW01.01/8.11.2+UW01.04) with ESMTP id f7NKJd0118924 for ; Thu, 23 Aug 2001 13:19:39 -0700 Received: from homer32.u.washington.edu (ceginfo@homer32.u.washington.edu [140.142.8.42]) by jason04.u.washington.edu (8.11.2+UW01.01/8.11.2+UW01.04) with ESMTP id f7NKJcr02748; Thu, 23 Aug 2001 13:19:38 -0700 Received: from localhost (ceginfo@localhost) by homer32.u.washington.edu (8.11.2+UW01.01/8.11.2+UW01.04) with ESMTP id f7NKJaQ101610; Thu, 23 Aug 2001 13:19:37 -0700 Date: Thu, 23 Aug 2001 13:19:36 -0700 (PDT) From: Civil and Environmental Engineering To: , Subject: Re: MSCE Defense Jason Holdridge 8/28/2001 (fwd) Message-ID: MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=US-ASCII > The final examination for the MSCE degree for Jason Holdridge will be held > on Tuesday, August 28, 2001 at 2:00 p.m. in More 119. > > Efficient Estimations of Crash Severity Models to Assess the In-Service > Performance of Roadside Hardware > > Abstract: > > In the U.S., on average, single vehicle run-of-the-roadway crashes > account for about one million highway crashes each year. Although this > accounts for about 14 percent of all reported crashes, these crashes > result in about one third of all highway fatalities. A great portion of > run-off-the-roadway fatalities occurs from collisions with fixed objects > on the roadside. While roadside hardware is meant to prevent fatal > injuries from collisions with more dangerous fixed objects such as > utility poles, and trees, hardware itself can contribute to fatality and > disabling injury risks. Controlled crash-testing of roadside hardware > has been in practice for over half a decade to design for effective > mitigation of run-off-the-road crash frequencies and severities. In > spite of a significant body of knowledge compiled over half a decade, > debate still occurs, especially at the state department of transportation > level, as to whether crash testing-based knowledge is adequate as a > standalone resource. Sufficient argument through limited empirical > analyses has been posited for the need to complement crash testing based > knowledge with in-service performance-based knowledge of roadside > hardware. The need for a cogent argument is comprehensive, and the > formulation of the argument should rely on sound mathematical analysis of > data on in-service performance of roadside hardware. This thesis > attempts to be the first comprehensive effort to develop robust > econometric formulations of in-service performance of roadside hardware > in one important dimension, crash severity. > > Through development of efficient statistical models via the nested logit > formulation, this study attempts to provides insights into the relative > performance of roadside hardware. This is achieved by controlling for > geometric features, environmental and temporal characteristics, vehicle > characteristics, and driver characteristics. While the econometric > formulations of in-service performance are the major contribution of this > thesis, systemic issues relating to cost-effectiveness of roadside > hardware retrofits are also examined. As an example, an empirical > cost-benefit analysis of bridge rail retrofits in Washington State is > conducted. By assessing different bridge rail lengths and their > associated costs and benefits, we investigate the presence of > cost-optimal bridge length thresholds for retrofitting. The sum import > of this thesis is the identification of pertinent information in the > vehicle, roadway and human dimensions to allow roadway engineers to focus > on key gaps between vehicle and roadside designs. > Professor Venky Shankar, Advisor > > > > > .